Book Review: Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World. By David Epstein (2019)



Increasing specialization has created a system of parallel trenches in the world of innovation. Everyone is digging deeper into one's own trench, too busy to stand up and look over in the next trench, although the solution to the problem at hand may lie there.

Epstein’s book is well written and timely. A highly recommended read for people in management and human resources. Actually, make that anyone interested in learning what sort of expertise can create success. 

The terminology of fox vs hedgehog is now popular - the hedgehog knows only one thing, but the fox knows many things. Epstein credits another analogy to Freeman Dyson – frogs and birds. The frogs know their environment very well, and delight in the details of their neighborhood. Birds can fly high, survey the landscape far. They delight in seeing far and unifying the local insights into bigger thinking. We need to create an environment where both frogs and birds can thrive. The world is both vast and deep. 

I thought this observation is spot on. We see 17-year olds are asked to make educational decisions that commit them to a career path. While you can change careers, sometimes that involves resisting family and societal pressure for success. The society in general and the education system today appears to be better at creating frogs than birds. 

Epstein illustrates this point with a large cast of characters. Story after story reinforces his point. 

Epstein's stories show us that narrow and early specialization alone can't prepare us for the complexity of real world. Steve Jobs credited his calligraphy lessons for the design of font design in Mac. Nobel laureates are 22 times more likely than the rest of us to have a part time occupation as painters, performers or authors. 

Tiger Woods started specializing in golf very early in his life. He was in a driving range, while the expected motor skill for his age was to be able to run and kick a ball. He pursued his ambition with a single-minded devotion to his art. Roger Federer, by contrast, played all games that involved a moving ball. His mother was a coach, but never coached him. His parents just made sure that he didn’t cheat and had a balanced childhood. He started focusing on tennis late in his teens. While both the athletes got to the heights of their respective careers, Federer retained his number 1 rank well into his thirties. 

Figlie del caro, an all-female orchestra in Venice, who dominated the European music scene in the 17th century, was known for both adaptability and virtuosity of its members. Each girl learnt vocal music, as well as every instrument that their institution owned. They could play compositions few others could play at that time, just by switching positions to create the orchestration that various compositions demanded. They drew royalty, travelers and distinguished members of the society for standing room performances in the church. They are credited for popularizing Antonio Vivaldi’s concertos. 

Analogical thinking is possible only with awareness of more than one domain. Johannes Kepler, the German astronomer who is credited with the discovery that the planetary system is held together by gravitational forces made that substantial intellectual leap by a series of analogies. When one analogy failed to explain the behavior of planets, he came up with a series of alternative analogies. 

Then there is the story of this boy in the Netherlands who spent an inordinate amount of time staring at insects and labeling beetles. He apparently failed to learn from his celebrity art teacher at school. He started working for his uncle as an arts dealer. He had to abandon that profession, as he lacked the social graces and haggling instincts that the job required. He moved to Paris when there was an explosion of art studios. However, he was not impressed by anything that he saw there. Now a young man, he tried working at a bookstore, teaching and preaching. Frustrated by his lack of success in all these, he started drawing as a distraction. He tried various artistic pastimes, all of which met with unfavorable reviews. Many years and many experiments later, he came to the realization that he could paint, if he gave up the quest for perfect realism. One night, he watched the sky for hours and imagined the sky behind a tiny town with a chapel. The painting was The Starry Night. The young man was Vincent Van Gogh. Van Gogh had pioneered a style of art, because of his winding path. Not despite it. 

Frances Hasselbein’s story is less well known, but equally notable. A woman who loved volunteering ended up having four professional jobs, all of them as presidents or CEOs, despite never having looked for a job. She brought the resourcefulness and the social entrepreneurship lessons from volunteering to the successful professional career, which did not start until her mid-fifties! 

Jill Viles, a woman from Iowa, who was suffering from muscular dystrophy due to a rare genetic mutation, recognized the symptoms in a Canadian sprinter, purely through a photograph she had seen on the newspaper. Jill made the diagnosis from the familiar lack of fat on the athlete’s muscles. In these days of Google-based diagnostics, we can understand a patient understanding her own condition by research, but to recognize the same condition in an athlete only from pictures, is impressive. Epstein points out that she had made a connection while no specialist had. 

Gunpei Yokoi joined a small, floundering company called Nintendo, apparently because of lack of ambition, and his reluctance to leave Kyoto. He was a hobbyist and tinkerer. In his early days in Nintendo, he had very little to do as a maintenance engineer. In his spare time, he made an extendable arm with crisscrossing pieces of wood, and attached gripping tool to the end, to retrieve remote objects without getting up. The president saw him do this and asked if it could be converted into a game. Yokoi added a set of colored balls, and created Nintendo’s first toy, which was a hit. Yokoi made several more successful games. He did not create or need sophisticated new technology. He thought broadly and made good use of old, cheap technology as no one else had. He expanded his success to hand-held calculator games, and then to Game Boy. Game Boy destroyed the more sophisticated rivals by applying cheap technology to novel entertainment ideas. Epstein cites this as an example for unusual, cross-disciplinary, lateral thinking. 

In an organizational context, when we create organizations that are competency-based, we indirectly dictate the tool that a division might use to solve a problem. 

Medicine is hyper specialized as well. Epstein quotes Atul Gawande, the surgeon and author as saying, ‘when someone was joking about the existence of a specialist left-ear surgeon, we had to check to see that such a thing did not exist!’. 

I work in the software industry. In many organizations, there are divisions that specialize in technologies like Big Data, Artificial Intelligence and the cloud. When they frame a business problem, they fail to generalize the problem statement well enough to factor in possibilities outside their respective domains. This may not be due to any sinister motive; it is just that they are in Epstein’s figurative trench. 

Epstein concludes with a chapter titled ‘Expanding your range’. While it has useful suggestions, I expected a recipe for expanding my range. Epstein says that is exactly the wrong thing to look for. Successful innovators found their own paths, often strewn with failures. The apparent disconnect between the skills they learnt along the way actually helped them create their unique path. 

In celebrating early success of a young person, we end up discouraging others who explored unusual paths early in their careers. Intended or not, this causes a comparison that may be hard for generalists to take. Even great men are not immune to this. Story has it that Julius Caesar broke into tears when he saw a statue of Alexander the Great in Spain. ‘Alexander had conquered all these nations at my age, and I have done nothing that is memorable’! 

So, us lesser mortals just need to relax and do our best to ignore those tiger parents! 

The book has many stories in various domains. Normal folks with a typical... range... can't be expected to appreciate all examples that Epstein brings up. But that is perhaps intentional. The author may be nudging us to look outside our normal range. 

A totally worthwhile read. I am glad I took my time reading this book. 

(This review was originally published in LinkedIn in June 2020).

Book Review: The Checklist Manifesto by Atul Gawande



What is in common between all the following?

  • surgeries involving multiple complications (and hence multiple specialists),
  • sophisticated aircrafts,
  • building skyscrapers, and
  • disease control in slums exposed to multiple sources of infection.

Complexity.

Atul Gawande is renowned surgeon. However, his reputation as a surgeon has gradually been eclipsed by that of him as a celebrity author. In this book, he addresses the challenge of extreme complexity. Most of the examples for complexity in this book are in his domain – health care. He also tells us stories involving: a passenger aircraft when engines inexplicably stalled; the builders of an unusually designed skyscraper who realize it had a fatal design flaw; surgeries in various operating rooms around the globe; threats and challenges created by a natural disaster. What is the single tool that can enhance your chance of success in these diverse conditions? The humble checklist.

Gawande builds up his case by starting by describing complexity in the operating room. Conditions that would have been considered irreversible or fatal a few decades ago are now handled by advances in medical science. No one person can master all these advances. A team of medical professionals who specialize in amazingly small niche areas work on a treating a single patient. But the collection of these amazing talents comes at a price - complexity. The larger the team, the more tangled the wires of communication.

This not unlike the builder’s profession. The master builder of the 18th century Europe could design and a building and coordinate the work of various specialists to get it built. Modern skyscrapers far exceed the capacity of the single individual to mastermind their construction. You need more than a smart master builder to coordinate the work of architects, designers, plumbers and electricians to build constructs that would have been considered impossible two hundred years ago. The scale of what is possible has grown considerably; and so has the price that we have to pay, should things go wrong.

There was a pivotal event that resulted in this book. Gawande receives a phone call from Geneva, from someone who works for the World Health Organization. Would he agree to host a forum to improve the surgical safety in the operating rooms worldwide? After some persuasion, he agrees to convene a meeting to start looking for answers. The benefit of working for WHO is access to all the data. Professionals from around the world meet, share their stories, and launch a pilot program to observe and improve the surgical conditions round the world.

The progress of the program is interwoven with more stories of complexity and what works and what doesn’t. The stories are well chosen and well told. The common thread is commitment to checklists, customization of the checklist to local conditions, and communication among participants.

He shares the results of the program that spans various continents, cultures and economic conditions. The results are nothing short of miraculous. The checklist works!

I expected the book to end with a story of heroism where Gawande turns a hopeless situation around using his new weapon, the checklist. He surprises us with a story of his mistake that almost turns fatal. A nurse saves the day due to her diligence. It was the checklist and a nurse that are given credit for the final win. Gawande surprises you again, with his humility.

I find the book a timely refresher for people like me in software development, when everyone in the industry is preoccupied with technical advancements. When your development engineers have to work with technical specialists, user experience engineers, dev-ops engineers, vendors and infrastructure providers, in addition to managing an already complex schedule, and unforgiving SLA agreements, what can you do to minimize the chances of messing up? Does it get any worse if the people involved are geographically spread out? How negotiable are the rules when the local conditions vary? I believe Atul Gawande has provided the answers.

I highly recommend this book.

(Originally published in LinkedIn, February 2019 by Anand Kannan)

Fact Imitates Fiction!


Listen folks, this is really big!  I finally connected the dots - American politics is imitating fiction. Specifically the novels of Irwing Wallace.

First, an African American becomes became the president of the U.S, following The Man (1964).

Second, Melania Trump was swapped with a Russian impersonator, just as Wallace had predicted in the The Second Lady (1980). Yeah, I might sound like someone's crazy uncle, but don't interrupt. This is about to get bigger!

Now, there is talk of Trump breaking up with Fox TV to start his own Trump TV. Makes me think the the stage is set for The Almighty (1982) to play out!

When it happens, just remember that you heard it here first. I don't want QAnon to take credit for any of this! (c) Anand Kannan.

Given Trump's history, it is quite tempting to insert The Seven Minutes somewhere in the sequence, but we don't want to spread unconfirmed rumors!

  

International Moderates' Day


The title has probably given my motive away. In any case, let us start with a quiz. As you answer the quiz, think of a topic that you feel strongly about one way or another – Trump, climate change, Tanishq, Hindi as India’s national language, Hindutva, Islamization, China, illegal immigration, Charlie Hebdo, Modi or sharing river waters. The topic does not matter. The side of the debate you are on does not matter. What matters is the depth of your conviction on the topic.

Here is the quiz. Don’t overthink your answers. Just answer ‘yes’ or ‘no’ based on your instant reaction. No ‘maybe’ or ‘perhaps’ answers.


Add up your score. If your score is:

  • 50: please stop reading. You won’t understand what I write below. I don’t want hate mail.
  • 40: depends. If you are angry at this point, give yourself 10 bonus points.
  • 30: you have been radicalized in social media. You might need an intervention, but there is hope.
  • 20: good.
  • 10: I’m envious
  • 0: Are you sure you are being truthful?!

The questions were mostly about social media, but this article is not. Let’s come back to the quiz later.

Much has been written about the divisiveness of the current social and political climate. People on social media are busy coining insulting names for the people they don’t agree with. To name a few - trumptards, libtards, bhakts, sanghis, sickulars, aaptards, oopis, commies, urban-naxals, dumeels and so on. These names may describe people of different political leanings, but they all have something in common – they put many people in varying levels of disagreement with the speaker in a single dismissive bucket.

A quote attributed to Voltaire is - “I wholly disapprove of what you say—and will defend to the death your right to say it”.

Voltaire, or whoever paraphrased him had been vary idealistic. It assumes all arguments will be met with thoughtful and reasonable consideration by either side. What if each side is willing to give its own side a far greater benefit of doubt than it is willing to give the other side?  What if everyone is thinking, “they are all alike!” when it comes to the other side, and are willing to treat the radical, scary elements on one’s own side as exceptions? What if they are busy making up counterarguments when the other side is speaking?

Moderates are assigned uncomplimentary labels in social media too. They realize, or have realized at some points, that those labels were made up by one side for shaming them into joining them. On evidence, moderates are a dying breed. They don't speak much in public. They seem to be getting rarer on social media. They are attacked for not voicing an opinion on the issue that one of the radical sides feels strongly about. The reason could be that they are smart enough to realize that the issue is not black or white, but a shade of grey. They realize that the shades bely their vocabulary. They realize that both sides of radicalization are willing the pounce on what they say, so would rather not say anything at all.

Democracy requires us to preserve this dying species and give them a voice.  

Giving everyone a vote is based on one premise – the wisdom of crowds. All adults get one vote each. The main premise behind democracy is not that everyone is equally smart, or that everyone thinks equally hard before making a choice. Instead, the thinking is that far more choices are made in a rational, informed fashion than otherwise.

We need the assumption to hold for democracy to survive. 

A moderate is not someone who lacks an opinion, but someone willing to change his/her opinion. Someone who has ‘firm opinions, loosely held’ as they say. Someone who is willing to spend more time listening than speaking. Not necessarily someone who says “Fine people on both sides” when one side is at fault. Moderates identify with an issue, not a political party. They are smart enough to realize no single party can represent them on all issues – social, environmental, economic and religious. They don’t just hand their allegiance to any party unquestioningly. They realize that what they see on the news and social media is probably the ‘message’ that one side has chosen to push. Power corrupts, but absolute, unquestioned power corrupts absolutely. Moderates vote for a party, but don’t feel the need to defend everything the party does. They hold their leader accountable after casting their vote.

Being a moderate is getting harder. If you click enough articles on your social media feed, the selection mechanism biases future suggestions based on a similar thinking. It gets even worse if you choose to friend or follow only people who think like you.

Talking to only your kind is like choosing to fill a jungle only with herbivores (or carnivores). Sooner or later, the jungle will die due to ecological imbalance.  The important choice is not between the left and the right, Muslims vs Hindus, the Democrats vs the Republicans. It is between the thinking and the unthinking; the open vs. closed mind.

Now, back to the quiz. They say 80% of the drivers rate themselves as above average. In that vein, you may want to rethink your answers to see if you have been too generous to yourself.

Moderates are endangered and yet have no advocacy groups It’s in not fashionable to be a moderate rights activist. So, when you spot a moderate, be kind. Consider adopting one. On social media, for example. An international moderates day, anyone?

 

Anti-social Thoughts on Social Media


Picture credit: Dries Augustyns on Unsplash

Dear Anand Kannan,

I am the Vice-president of Media Excellence with Social Media Trends International (SMTI). SMTI has been helping multi-national companies with their social media presence. I have over 15 years’ experience in social media campaigns. It is safe to say that I have a very good sense of best practices in social media messaging. I would like to set up some time to explore your current social media strategy and recommend next steps.
I hope you will take some time to think about this offer and suggest a time for us to talk.
Stay well.
Regards,
Warren Smith.

Dear Warren,
Thank you for your kind offer. Your timing is perfect. I have been struggling to understand the value and purpose of a social media presence. I did some further thinking after reading your mail.  I have several questions on my own use of social media and the company's.
Have you watched the movie Shrek? There is a memorable dialog in the movie. The authorities capture Shrek and Donkey. Donkey raises procedural questions on his capture: 'No one informed me that I have a right to remain silent! I have a right to remain silent". Shrek's response is "You have the right Donkey, what you lack is the capacity".  
Old wisdom says it's better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to open the mouth and remove all doubt. On social media, we have the option of remaining silent, and we seem to be happy to waive the right. Does that worry you as an industry expert?
I have several questions about this. What makes normal people pick up political and religious arguments with perfect strangers? Do they really think the strangers are open for persuasion any more than they themselves are? Do they not realize that these strangers have firm opinions molded by biased media feed, just like they themselves do?
When they post to social media, do they trust their ability to communicate all the shades of grey within the expressiveness allowed by the text limits? I will admit that I have doubts as to my own ability. So, I think finding you is a lucky development.
When normal people share an article, do they just mean it as something that their friends might be interested, or something that should be interested in? Is the reader to think the sharer agrees 100% with the contents of the article? Or 90% or just greater than 50%?
Do they check the validity of every news item they forward? Do they think the selfies they share convey the message they are intended to convey? 
Does everyone worry about what percentage of their friends the shared news bit is relevant to? Do they worry that people with different national, linguistic, religious or political background may find the news item irrelevant? Should they worry? Is sharing a news item that is irrelevant to a friend as rude as talking in your ethnic language to your buddy knowing there are others who don't follow the language?
Same question as to profound thoughts. What if a number people don't understand what you write? Is it their problem or yours? What is the minimum percentage of the people do you think should understand what you write? Is 50% enough, or should it be 90%?
Does it bother you that we are the product and not the consumer in the social media platform? Do people know that they are training algorithms by using the platform? Do people worry that clicking on a right-wing (or left wing) news story that Facebook thinks you might be interested in may train the learning algorithm to skew their feeds? Do they care? Should they care?
I think social media, much like communism is a great idea in theory, but human flaws stop it from being achieving that perfection in practice. As an expert, do you worry that we are playing a part in stopping social media from being all that it can be? I think I am lucky in having found an expert like you to help figure this out.
Even before social media came along, they used to say untold suffering seldom is. Has social media further endangered untold suffering? 
Does anyone else think like this? Am I anti-social? Or does that all this mean I'm thinking too much? Or just that I need you more than others do?
I have more questions, but decided keep it brief. Please take some time to think about this. As you may have noticed, I have been struggling to verbalize my difficult questions, so it is perhaps best if we met in person so I can take you up on your offer. Please let me know if you block a day off in June for us to discuss the above points.
Thanks and regards,
Anand Kannan.

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